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Every big tech company's embrace of AI is making all of their employees miserable.

Whereas if you're half-competent and at a startup, the AI is an incredible opportunity to try to leap ahead while the prices are subsidized (by the big tech behemoths fighting wth each other)

The reason is a complete inversion of Ownership and Agency.

For a decade of ZIRP, big tech convinced its employees that they're "changing the world", and what we did mattered. Sure the exhorbitant salaries and constantly rising stock value didn't hurt, but honestly other than the FIRE cultists, for most of us the difference between 200k/year and 800k/year didn't feel much day to day (other than the ability to buy a house or something, and feel safe with a retirement nest egg). No, most people were missionaries not mercanaries.

2021 was the first crack. The comps went crazy, half the industry turned over, and the ones who didn't felt a bitter sting where it became blatantly clear that all the new arrivals were just in it for the $$$, and the companies were willing to pay for the backfills but not to reward the loyalty of the missionaries.

Then came the yearly layoffs, chipping away further, and reminding every employee that they're at the mercy of a spreadsheet and the whims of people 3 levels above them in the org chart, in spite of the economic reality of their product, or their personal productivity.

And now we're here, and it's clear that all of the above is still relevant. The old-timers that hung around see that their personal output doesn't matter, their product's PnL doesn't matter. All that matters is 1) the company's AI strategy (and if they're not part of it, they're secondary), and 2) tokenmaxing.

How can anyone find joy in this environment unless they're purely in it for the comp?

I couldn't. I left my big tech job in December after 15 years, and have not been this happy at work since pre-COVID.


> the difference between 200k/year and 800k/year didn't feel much day to day (other than the ability to buy a house or something, and feel safe with a retirement nest egg)

I can’t believe I read this sentence, lol.

800k is the ability to buy a house and support a family on a single income. Do you see so many people lamenting the days when this was possible? So many memes about the lifestyle Homer Simpson could provide, and may modern families can’t? 800k makes it possible.

It’s a huge lifestyle upgrade, especially if your partner wants to do something artistic, academic, or otherwise less profitable.


The real difference between 800k and 200k is the ability to work for 5 year and make 200k off interest for the rest of your life.

800k for 5y taxed at salary rates will not net you 200k/yr in perpetuity. Not even close. And certainly not in real dollars.

Assuming you manage to save every penny.


While I mostly agree, $200k makes that possible too, if you play it right. For example, go remote, move to the countryside, let your spouse rear the kids or the dogs or whatever.

But yeah, "no difference between 200 and 800", while spelling out some MASSIVE differences is quite a statement.


This essentially describing the backward bending supply curve of labor:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backward_bending_supply_curve_...


If someone has a 10m portfolio, it really is irrational to chase a higher w-2.

How many do you think build that portfolio from $200k/yr? The point is an extra 600k, at least for several years, is life-changing when managed wisely. I could perhaps see the GP's point about "day to day" feeling, if you acclimate to the baseline of financial security that having that much money buys you. I'm only assuming though, having never had the opportunity to experience GP's claim about that kind of comp.

My sentence:

> other than the ability to buy a house or something, and feel safe with a retirement nest egg

Your sentence:

> 800k is the ability to buy a house and support a family on a single income

So we agree.

The thing you missed in my post:

> day to day

Day to day it doesnt feel different when you own a house vs rent one.

Day to day you're eating the same food, entertaining the same ways. Doing the same thing with your friends, family, and loved ones.

The 50% of your waking life that's not your job is not meaningfully different.

So when the other 50% starts to feel dramatically different, you notice.


Good post

>2021 was the first crack. The comps went crazy, half the industry turned over, and the ones who didn't felt a bitter sting where it became blatantly clear that all the new arrivals were just in it for the $$$, and the companies were willing to pay for the backfills but not to reward the loyalty of the missionaries.

Also SVB collapsed in late 2022, notice that AI hype started right after.


Sigh, if it actually collapsed, it would have been fine. Summers saved it depositors before it collapse. I still don't get how that was not a story on a par with 2008 ( or maybe it wasn't because the fallout was avoided ).

The idea that there is not much difference between 200K and 800K per year is absolute nonsense. I feel like its one of those things that are so stupid we are all dumber for having heard it. I don't know if its just one of those things where people on HN seem to virtue signal as if they are the most minimalists, live in 250 square foot tiny houses, live of radishes they grow in their microgrardens or whatever. This is like people that say, "eh, you don't need to make more than $95K."

When I was making 200k, 120k of that was cash.

When I was making 800k, 200k of that was cash.

Like I didn't discount that it gave me the ability to buy a house.

But day to day, week to week, it's the same doordash and the same restaurants, and the same vacations.

It's not like I started getting invited to St. Barths.


The Three Mile Island accident is also dramatically exaggerated in the public conscience with its severity and risk factor - solely because of the default fear of Nuclear.

Oil, Gas, Coal, and random chemical plants have had much more significant accidents even in the US, but never made a blip in the public's minds.

Aren't France and Canada the ones to learn from at this point with regards to safe nuclear operation?


This is the first fundamental flaw of the article

> Bob's weekly updates to his supervisor were indistinguishable from Alice's. The questions were similar. The progress was similar. The trajectory, from the outside, was identical.

No they won't be. They might be worse. They might be better. But they'll be very different.

And, like you said...

> Alice and Bob had the same year. One paper each.

No they won't. Alice would've taken a year. Bob would've taken a few days.

You've already covered why that might actually be OK, so I'll talk about the author's other error:

> This sounds idealistic until you think about what astrophysics actually is. Nobody's life depends on the precise value of the Hubble constant. No policy changes if the age of the Universe turns out to be 13.77 billion years instead of 13.79. Unlike medicine, where a cure for Alzheimer's would be invaluable regardless of whether a human or an AI discovered it, astrophysics has no clinical output. The results, in a strict practical sense, don't matter. What matters is the process of getting them: the development and application of methods, the training of minds, the creation of people who know how to think about hard problems. If you hand that process to a machine, you haven't accelerated science. You've removed the only part of it that anyone actually needed.

Keep asking why. why does the development of the application and methods, the training of minds matter?

the goal isn't abstract. The goal is still ultimately for the benefit of humanity, just like the cure for Alzheimer's.

Humanity learned physics, so we made rockets and now we have satellites, and the entire planet is connected with communication and information.

Humanity must continue to invest in astrophysics so that we do not get wiped out by a single rogue asteroid barreling through the cosmos, like the dinosaurs did.

Now i'm not saying that there isn't other benefit to making generically intelligent humans that know how to think. But at the end of the day, the purpose of astrophysics is no less existential than the purpose for developing medicine.

I want to know the age of the universe so that we can understand what created it, and if we can reverse entropy, and if there is anything beyond the universe. That is a quest for humanity that will take hundreds if not millions of years.


ok but i manually used arrow keys to set it to by clicking right 25 times, and that didn't work, so i gave up.


Are we watching the same clip? I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

This is from the pilot and I watched it based on high recommendations, and I couldn't keep going because the character you're describing as so convincing and charismatic is so dramatically unlikeable!?

In this scene, he is:

* disrespectful and entitled with a coworker

* privileged and self-important about his background with a client

* then makes an admittedly pretty rousing speech, but TBH the show doesn't really trust us to understand that "this is meant to be inspirational" because it keeps cutting to the other character reacting "inspired", which is significant because

* he doesn't make the sale

* then proceeds to verbally scream abuse at the other character.

and then i'm supposed to be excited about watching the two of these start a computer company together? ..........why?


i'm curious, how do you think other large companies operate with regards to reporting progress/status/results up the management chain?

At least at companies where the upper management is aware enough of the details to make good judgements, and the business is critical enough for some reason that low level management can't just be entrusted to yeet/yolo-things into production?


We need to get past the point of binary perspective. The question isn't whether any one of us is innocent or guilty. The question is of what.

The word "rape" makes people visualize the most extreme scenarios of strangers in the night attacking those weaker than them, and assaulting them with violence.

But there are still significant parts of the world, even the western world, where "marital rape" is considered an oxymoron.

So people tried to come up with a generic neutral term like "sexual assault" which could mean everything from someone's worst rape nightmare, to unwanted touching in a sexualized manner in a crowd.Because that's the reality - physical contact requires consent. And consent is........complicated.

If I say "Do you consent to sex with me?" and you say "yes", did you consent? Yes.

If I say "Do you consent to sex with me, so I don't murder you", and you say "yes", did you consent? No.

Everyone can plainly understand the above. But finding the line for consent shifts can be surprisingly difficult.

* "Do you consent to sex with me, so I can give you the antidote to the poison you accidentally ingested"

* "Do you consent ..., so I can pay for life-saving cancer treatments that you need so that you otherwise can't afford?"

* "Do you consent ..., so I can pay for your rent, and otherwise you will be evicted?"

* "Do you consent ..., so that I don't fire you from the job you have?"

* "Do you consent ..., so that I no longer support you financially in a way that is currently entirely based on good will, and you've come to depend on it, and are scared of losing, because you've moved across the planet to be in my orbit, and now it looks like if you disappoint me, I'll turn on you"

Gaiman's accusations are at the end of this spectrum. Should he be in jail? I don't think so. Should he lose his livelihood? That's entirely up to his fans. Is he "innocent"? Well, if the facts aren't in dispute, I don't think so.

Which is why it' so frustrating and unhelpful to see writers and newspapers like https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y07w7nyxzo dwell on details like:

> Gaiman's legal papers also included WhatsApp messages which he says back up his case, in which Ms Pavlovich thanked him for a "lovely lovely night" and told him their relationship was "consensual".

PLENTY of sexual assault victims "thank" their assaulter, and assure them things were consensual even when they're not. Because they still feel at risk. Or because *THEY DON'T WANT TO ADMIT TO THEMSELVES THAT THEY'RE A VICTIM*.

Nobody wants to feel like they were violated. Nobody wants to admit that they didn't consent. Nobody wants to have the burden of now being the one to decide what to do about this - on a social level, on a criminal level, etc.

Admitting you were assaulted is saying "OK, so do i want this to be something I have to admit about myself for the rest of my life? To waste countless time and money and stress and anxiety to pursue justice that probably won't happen? To risk my own safety and sanity?" No wonder so many people don't.

None of this may change anything that's in this Project. But the whole framing of it pisses me off. It leaves no room for nuance. This man is probably not a monster. That doesn't mean he's not an abuser.


I remember reading the original accusations and the presented fact that the victim was a penniless defenceless girl totally made me believe that indeed something bad had happened.

Seeing the pictures and videos presented on TFA demonstrates I think that about a year back, I was skillfully lied to in print, and fell for it, it's kind of a watershed.


Speaking of Zero Dark Thirty, it has WAY more problems than that - https://www.tiktok.com/@trademoviespodcast/video/75653617056...


Somewhere, John Carmack, in his new conservative era, is seething.


I love this for him.


I mean I pay for Youtube Premium because I use Youtube Music instead of Spotify.

I get a very unopinionated but effective music player that has all the music I need, and it doesn't try very hard to "upsell" itself to me unlike Spotify because to Google YouTube is the real money driver.

So to me getting no YouTube ads as well is well worth it.


And I pay for Premium, because each premium view is more valuable to the creators than the ad supported one.


for what it's worth, you could divide up your youtube premium membership cost and give that to 500 creators and they would see more revenue in their pocket than your premium watches get them.

Premium viewcount is grossly over valued by the people who pay for it, because they need to justify their sunk cost. I doubt most content creators even track it because the difference is minimal. We're talking a few bucks a month, tops.

I remember when youtube premium first came out and YT pimped this trope super hard. Then it came to light that the difference is basically nothing because most people don't pay for premium.


Creators say that premium is a huge chunk of their YouTube revenue. I'm inclined to believe them over some random like you.


Either:

I watch ten creators. I divide $10 per month between them evenly. They each get $1 per month.

Or:

I pay for YouTube premium. It costs $10 per month. I watch ten creators. The $10 goes to YouTube.

I make the following assumptions:

* YouTube only takes a portion of that $10

* YouTube divides the remaining money evenly across the creators I watch (10)

Each creator gets less than $1 per month

Which gives the creators more revenue?


> I watch ten creators. I divide $10 per month between them evenly. They each get $1 per month.

No, they don’t. How are you magically sending them this money? They all signed up for that method? And it doesn’t charge a minimum transfer fee?

You’re unserious.


By the same method I'll be alternatively sending to YouTube.

That's not the point and you know it.


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