Sure, I'll take that bet, as long as we can bring it back to your original premi... | Hacker News

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		aerosmile on Feb 24, 2021 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Abundant Capital Sure, I'll take that bet, as long as we can bring it back to your original premise, which is that S20 sucks and that smart founders are better off skipping YC. For that point to be validated, we need to establish that a comparable cohort of non-YC companies will fare less well. So here's my proposal: We take all companies indexed on AngelList and isolate for those started in 2021. Then we separate them into YC and non-YC cohorts. In January of 2026, we will see which cohort has a higher rate of shut downs. Deal?

solosoyokaze on Feb 24, 2021 [–]

That would be extremely interesting, and yeah I'd put $100 into that bet.

aerosmile on Feb 24, 2021 | [–]

I am in. Here's my email: https://bit.ly/3bCwlYs. Please confirm once you have it.

solosoyokaze on Feb 24, 2021 | | [–]

We need a platform for this, not an email address. Sort of like fantasy sports, only for VC.

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